Lobster Bulletin


    In This Edition

  1. Northeast Researchers Team Up to Predict Lobster Harvests

  2. To The North Atlantic Lobster Industry

  3. V-Notching: Now, Then, and Around The World

  4. Computer Model Could Answer Important Questions

  5. Choose Another Bulletin



Northeast Researchers Team Up to Predict Lobster Harvests

Forecasting the lobster population years from now is about as difficult as making weather predictions far into the future. Nevertheless, thatÕs just what a team of researchers from throughout the region is attempting to do. With support from the Maine/New Hampshire Sea Grant College Program, researchers will develop techniques to predict lobster landings at coastal sites in Long Island Sound, Rhode Island, New Hampshire, and Maine.

Although lobster harvests have been at all-time highs in recent years, fishery scientists have warned that stocks are overfished and a collapse is possible. If lobster landings can be predicted and techniques devleoped to help regulate the lobster industry, a stock collapse could be averted. Information generated in this study could also help lobstermen prepare for declines or increases in catch and possibly avoid hardships associated with an unexpected crash.

According to Bob Steneck, lobster ecologist at the University of Maine's Darling Marine Center and a member of the research team, the project will focus on the settlement of inch-long planktonic lobsters that swim in coastal waters and eventually settle to the sea floor. Steneck explains, "Early events that happen in the lives of many organisms seem to be the most important thing in controlling the organism's abundance. We can't just look at a single species and how many individuals there are or the number of egg-bearing females. We have to seriously think about predator-prey relationships, habitat degradation, larval survival, larval behavior, nursery grounds, and migration. This is where ecology and fishing come together."

Steneck is working in collaboration with Rick Wahle, Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences; Win Watson and Hunt Howell, University of New Hampshire; Stan Cobb, University of Rhode Island; and Mike Fogarty, National Marine Fisheries Service.

As a graduate student of Steneck's in the mid-1980s, Wahle developed new techniques to count the number of larval lobsters settling to the sea floor. According to Wahle, "What evolved from a trial-and-error attempt to understand the missing link in the life cycle of lobsters eventually turned into this project." That missing link-what factors determine how many lobsters settle to the bottom and grow- is critical in understanding the relationship between the free floating larvae and the bottom-dwelling creature that ends up in traps and eventually on our dinner plates.

Through their research in the last ten years, Wahle, Steneck and others found that selected rocky areas in near-coastal waters are critical for the settlement process.ppears that only about 10%Ð 12% of the Maine coast is suitable for lobster settlement. Researchers also discovered that the number of young lobsters in any one area does not appear to change much from year to year, although differences among areas can be large. There is also evidence that summer water temperatures and wind patterns may greatly influence settlement.

Over the next three years, the research team will track landings and monitor environmental conditions such as temperature and food availability. They will also use Wahle's sampling techniques to estimate the numbers of lobsters settling to the sea floor. These numbers will be compared to the number of lobsters that settle into artificial collectors that Steneck recently developed. Consisting of a lattice-work of PVC plastic pipes and artificial turf, the collector mimics the rocky environment that juvenile lobsters seem to prefer. Studies have shown that the artificial bottom collects lobsters as well as the natural environment and the collectors can be brought up so juveniles can be counted. Using the collectors, researchers will estimate the abundance of pre-recruit (sub-legal size) lobsters. They will then develop and test modified lobster traps with no escape vents to determine if the number of pre-recruits (as well as newly-settled lobsters) corresponds to catch.

Members of the lobster industry are invaluable partners inthis research project by helping researchers with the experimental logbook and sea sampling programs. Particpating lobstermen are keeping logbooks in which they record how many sub-legal and legal size lobsters they catch in their traps. In sea sampling, they measure lobsters in their traps, determine the sex, and record whether they are V-notched, berried, hard or soft shell. This information is vital in developing techniques to predict lobster landings.

According to Pat White, executive director of the Maine Lobstermen's Association, the project brings scientists and fishermen together to the benefit of both. Information on future lobster stocks generated by this research could eventually help scientists, regulators, and the industry reach agreement on how to manage today's resources. As White states, "It's very hard to implement any rules that don't have the support of the fishermen."

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To The North Atlantic Lobster Industry

In 1972, when I arrived at the University of Maine as Assistant Professor of Animal and Veterinary Sciences, if anyone had told me that someday there would be a Lobster Institute and that I would be its director...well, here I am.

The lobster industry family-from trap builders to harvesters, pound owners and dealersÑis very important to me. I feel privileged to be a part of this industry and to be entrusted with the position of Executive Director of the Lobster Institute.

While leading the Institute, I will continue to carry out lobster research, when there are problems and areas where I can make a contribution. Although I have teaching obligations and need to spend time with my students, I will make every effort to keep abreast of industry needs and issues of importance.

There are many issues that need to be dealt with in the future: management schemes on both sides of the border; the conservation and health of our lobster; and keeping the best possible product in the international marketplaceÑjust for starters.

The Institute will continue to support and participate in the Maine Fishermen's Forum, the Massachusetts Lobstermen's Association Annual Convention, Lobster Dealer/Pound Operator Workshops, many of the Canadian lobster workshops, and other seminars as the need arises. In an effort to keep the industry abreast of current lobster research and other relevant topics, we will continue to publish the Lobster Bulletin, instructional manuals, and fact sheets.

We are encouraged by and proud of the positive response we have received in our fundraising efforts and the strong support shown by our Canadian partners. In the near future, the Institute hopes to have an endowment large enough to establish a lobster research fellowship for graduate students or faculty.

Dave Dow and the original Board of Advisors did a terrific job of bringing the Institute to where it is today. All of us on the Board were, and still are, working towards a common goal.

We can keep our industry healthy and make it stronger, but only with your help. As Ed Blackmore, Chair of the Board of Advisors, often says, "We're all in this together."

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V-Notching:
Now, Then, and Around The World

V-notching lobsters in Maine is not a new practice. Beginning in 1917, only the commissioner of the Maine Department of Sea and Shore Fisheries (changed in 1973 to the Department of Marine Resources or DMR) could hole-punch the tails of egg-bearing lobsters that were purchased for that purpose. Although DMR still buys some female lobsters to V-notch and release, much of the conservation effort today is carried out by lobstermen. Since the 1970s, many Maine lobstermen have voluntarily participated in a V-notching program whereby they mark the tails of berried lobsters and return them to the sea. In order to protect these lobsters with proven reproductive capability, there was a regulation passed in 1948 that made it illegal to land a V-notched lobster in Maine. There is also a federal regulation, that came into effect in the mid-1980s, that prohibits fishermen from landing any V-notched lobster in federal waters.

In Ireland, lobster fishermen became concerned about the decline in lobster stocks and the ultimate future of their industry. After a conference in Galway in 1993 where David Dow, former director of the Lobster Institute, and a team of University researchers discussed conservation measures practiced in Maine, Irish fishermen visited the state in the summer of 1994 to see for themselves. All of this exchange culminated in a V-notch order in October 1994 which states that "it is illegal to land, sell, or be in possession of any lobster which is marked with a "V" piece cut out of its tail."

In the Western Isles of Scotland, catches have dropped 40% in the past 10 years since boats started taking lobstersÑwhich could be the brood stockÑ from deeper water. Consequently, a V-notched proposal has been submitted as part of the country's "EU Pesca programme." With this program, about 10,000 notched females will be released in the sea over the next five years. Duncan MacInnes, secretary of the Western Isles Fisherme'Õs Association says, "We will be asking the fisheries ministry to make this scheme a condition of the shellfish license it is proposing and the industry has agreed on how it will work."

Along the west coast of Newfoundland, which historically supplies 50% of the province's catch, lobster landings have declined in the last three years. One explanation given is increased exploitation in the lobster fishery due to declines in groundfish. However, lobster recruitment could also be limited by the low level of egg production. According to an article written by Gerry Ennis in the FRC Lobster Report published in St. John's, Newfoundland, lobster egg production in this province could be low due to a legal size limit that is too small (females reach sexual maturity below the limit) and very high exploitation rates. Since increasing the size limit and reducing the exploitation rate would seriously reduce landings, fishermen are now considering implementing a voluntary V-notching program similar to the one in Maine. As Ennis states, "It is unlikely that the level of egg production would be raised sufficiently (through V-notching) to eliminate the risk of recruitment failure but it could be a significant contribution towards reducing that risk."

Maine Keeps Track of V-Notched Lobsters

Since 1982, the Maine Lobstermen's Association (MLA) has conducted a V-notch survey to measure the impact of this conservation program. Each year, post cards are sent to MLA members requesting information about their catch. The survey includes questions about the number of V-notched lobsters, the number of V-notched lobsters that had eggs, the number of egged lobsters without a V-notch, the number of traps hauled, and total pounds landed. The results have been remarkably consistent from year to year.

This year, over 100 lobstermen responded to the survey. After the results were tabulated at the beginning of November, the survey showed that over 60% of egg-bearing females had a V-notch. Although Maine lobstermen voluntarily participate in this program, many are active ly involved in it and the consistent survey results through the years suggest that's it's working.

Editor's note: The survey in1989 showed that 65,377 traps were hauled resulting in 52,979 pounds of lobster and in 1995, only 41,360 traps yielded 64,292 pounds of lobster.

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Computer Model Could Answer Important Questions

In July 1994, Amendment 5 of the federal lobster fishery management plan established area-by-area lobster effort management teams (EMTs) to submit local recommendations to guide the New England Fishery Management Council in its stock rebuilding program. Recently, the EMTs proposed policies ranging from trap limits, to individual transferable quotas (ITQs), to seasonal closings.

Trying to work through the potential impacts of various proposed regulations can be very difficult. For example, the effects of a trap limit on each individual lobsterman are reasonably easy to figure out, but will a trap limit have an impact on lobster prices and how? Will it change the seasonal pattern of landings and require greater (or less) pounding capability? Will it affect the industry's ability to supply particular segments of the market? Will it help to stabilize prices over the course of the year or will it have the effect of de-stabilizing prices? Coming up with reasonable answers to these kinds of questions is almost impossible, even for people who are very well informed about how the industry works. Nevertheless, these are important questions because the last thing anyone wants is an "ugly surprise" from a new policy.

Many industries, especially those in agriculture, try to approach these problems with what is called "simulation modeling." Every market has experts who know their particular part of the market or production process, but there are generally few or no people who are expert in all aspects of the market. The idea of a simulation model is to take the expertise that exists at the various levels in the market and pull it together in the form of a computer model. In the lobster industry, for example, this means going to supermarkets- learning what their inventory rules tend to be, how their inventories vary over the year, how their buying and selling decisions vary with wholesale prices, how consumers react to price and other changes in the market, and so on. The same would be done for restaraunts, institutional outlets, wholesalers, pound owners, truckers, co-ops and dealers, exporters, and other special niches in the market.

Putting all this information into a computer model is something of an art because a lot of unimportant detail must be left out. When it is completed, the model puts together and traces out a lot of complicated relationships that might otherwise be nearly impossible to understand. It has its limits but it also has its advantages, especially if you understand its limits. As time goes by and as more is learned about what is going on in the industry, the model can be improved and incorporate more detail.

Last August, a group of researchers from the Universities of Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts (Dartmouth) and Rhode Island completed the initial version of a model for the lobster industry. Jim Wilson of the University of Maine headed up the overall project. Al Kezis and Ty Cheng (Maine), Bruce Lindsay and Alberto Manalo (New Hampshire) and Bill Hogan and Dan Georgianna (Massachsetts ) developed the market side of the model, while John Gates and Jon Sutinen at the University of Rhode Island developed the harvesting side . The project was funded by National Marine Fisheries Service which is currently reviewing the final report.

Copies of the report will soon be available on the Lobster Institute's World Wide Web site (http://www.lobster.UM.Maine.edu/lobster). The report includes written material describing the market and harvesting sectors, a description of how they were modeled, and large amounts of historical data on landings, prices, imports, exports, and other aspects of the industry.

(Written by Jim Wilson, University of Maine Department of Resource Economics & Policy)

Back to Beginning


The Lobster Bulletin is a periodic newsletter published by the Lobster Institute in cooperation with the Maine/New Hampshire Sea Grant Marine Advisory Program. We welcome your comments and suggestions. For more information please contact us at:
Lobster Institute
5715 Coburn Hall #22
University of Maine, Orono, ME 04469-5715
TEL (207) 581-1448. Editor: Susan White.



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