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Lobster pounds perform a vital role in the U.S. live lobster market. Because
lobsters can be stored in pounds for relatively long periods of time, pound
owners can buy, hold, and sell inventories during the fall/winter season which is
September to March. These buying and selling activities affect ex-vessel prices
and revenues to lobstermen.
Keith Casey, a graduate student in Agricultural and Resource Economics at the
University of Maine has been conducting research on how pounds operate and to
what extent they affect the market.
By interviewing pound owners throughout eastern Maine, Casey discovered there
are several factors, other than price, that determine the quantity of lobsters
put into the pound and when lobsters are bought and sold. These include the
holding capacity of a pound, seasonal water temperature, and the molting process
of lobsters. In addition, there are economic considerations that go beyond
short-term profits. Pound owners decide when to buy and sell in an effort to
maintain long-term, reciprocal relationships with a limited number of buyers and
sellers.
The capacity of pounds is greatest in the fall when the water temperature is
colder than in other seasons. Cooler water reduces the risk of disease, contains
more dissolved oxygen, and slows the metabolism of lobsters. Fortunately for the
lobster pound industry, pounding capacity is greatest in the season that provides
the best opportunity for profits.
Water temperature also affects when lobsters can be placed in pounds. Most
pound owners fill their pounds during September and November to take advantage of
lower prices. This coincides with the optimum water temperature since
temperatures in pounds from December through March are generally too cold for new
lobsters to adapt. If landing patterns should change in a way that makes it more
attractive to fill a pound later in the season, pound owners will still be
confined to filling by the end of November.
The molting cycle also has a significant affect on when pounds buy and sell
lobsters. This is especially true in the spring pounding season when pound owners
must sell their inventory before lobsters molt. After molting, lobsters are more
cannabalistic which could cause a disastrous shrinkage level. For spring
pounding, most Maine pounds inventory Canadian lobsters from the Gulf of St.
Lawrence because these lobsters molt several weeks later than lobsters from the
Gulf of Maine and they can be held longer in pounds.
Within the Gulf of Maine, shedding times vary. This makes it very difficult
for pound owners to know when new shells (shedders) will become abundant on the
market. In general, pound owners prefer to sell all of their spring inventory
before new shells in the western regions of Maine become abundant. Once new
shells are plentiful, the hard shell price for pounded lobsters generally
declines.
Pound owners' expectations of market prices is another factor influencing
inventory levels. Pound owners are generally confident that prices will increase
enough during the winter months to provide a profit margin. Over 50 percent of
the pound owners surveyed said they fill their pounds to capacity regardless of
their expectations of the New England economy. This suggests that ex-vessel
demand from lobster pounds during the entire fall season is fairly fixed.
Casey states, "In general, pound owners are less confident about spring
pounding margins. Consequently, they tend to reduce their spring inventories or
not spring pound at all if market conditions indicate there is poor chance of
having a profitable pounding season. If May prices are abnormally high, pounds
will generally hold less inventory or not pound at all."
Finally, Canadian fishing seasons affect when lobster pounds buy and sell
their inventories. Two major fishing areas in southwest Nova Scotia open at the
end of November, with much of the catch from these areas being exported to the
U.S. during December and January. This generally depresses prices and pounds
usually hold onto their inventory. However, when the flow of Canadian product
declines in late January and early February, prices rise and pound owners sell
their inventory from February through April.
In mid-April and early May, fishing areas open in Prince Edward Island, Cape
Breton, the Magdalen Islands, and Newfoundland. When the number of lobsters
exported to the U.S. increases, there is usually a decline in the U.S. ex-vessel
price. With lower prices in May, pound owners always sell their inventory before
the end of April.
It has been estimated that from 1982-91, the buying and selling activities of
lobster pounds from September through March have, on average, increased revenue
to fishermen by 8.73 million dollars per year. Casey's study suggests that, if
the market is supplied only by fishermen, supply will be more volatile. This
results in more volatile prices. Since many restaurants will not carry live
lobsters on the menu if the prices are extremely variable, the demand for lobster
could decrease if there were no lobster pounds.
It should be noted that Casey's study is based on the sales and purchases of
a very small sample of pounds. Although the pounding data is limited and there is
inevitably a margin for error, Casey concluded that "the buying and selling
activities of lobster pounds during the fall/winter season has caused a
significant increase in ex-vessel revenues to U.S. lobstermen."
In Search of the Elusive Broodstock
Where does the broodstock live that supplies larvae to coastal areas
throughout the Gulf of Maine and how many are there? Bob Steneck, associate
professor of oceanography at the University of Maine, and Michael Fogarty and
Josef Idoine of National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) in Woods Hole,
Massachusetts, will conduct a study next summer that could help answer this
question. Funded by NOAA's National Undersea Research Center (NURC) at the
University of Connecticut at Avery Point, researchers will use a new submarine,
similar to the Johnson Sea-Link, to explore deepwater, offshore habitats in the
Gulf of Maine.
Over the years, NMFS has obtained estimates of broodstock abundance from
research vessel trawl surveys and from lobster trap data. Both of these
traditional methods of lobster stock assessment have limitations. Many factors
affect whether a lobster enters a trap or not, including the presence and
proximity of other traps. Although bottom trawls are probably an effective way to
sample larger lobsters on sand bottoms, they cannot be used effectively in
boulder habitats. In situ (in place) techniques are more reliable but they cover
relatively small areas.
Steneck and his team will conduct in situ surveys to assess lobster
populations and size structure in deepwater regions where traditional NMFS
sampling data already exists. They will then integrate this data with the
extensive long-term, widespread trawl and trap data to develop a more
comprehensive sampling program.
Using the manned submersible, researchers will conduct surveys at 100 and 200
meter depths and record each lobster found with a laser-scale video camera. The
laser-scale will also be used to determine the size of lobsters. Besides counting
lobsters and measuring their sizes, researchers will also determine if lobster
population density and body size correspond to the type of bottom, and if the
density decreases with distance from high carrying capacity (boulder field)
habitats. They will also compare deepwater sites in both coastal and offshore
regions to determine if patterns in size of lobsters correspond to water
depth.
By providing estimates of lobster abundances in different habitats,
researchers plan to assess potential linkages between inshore and offshore
lobsters. They anticipate that results of their studies could allow more accurate
estimates of the lobster stocks in the Gulf of Maine. This information could have
important implications for lobster management.
In addition, market factors affect the quantity of inventory held in pounds
and when lobsters are bought and sold. In recent years, banks have reduced credit
lines for many lobster pounds. Because of this, pounds have had to reduce their
inventory levels. This was particularly true for the 1991-92 fall/winter pounding
season.